Monday, July 7, 2014

Supermarket squeeze dooms Canadian food processors

Canada’s big supermarket chains are using their clout to squeeze suppliers hard and many Canadian companies can’t stand up under competition from giants in the United States.

The answer is for Canadian manufacturers of packaged groceries to increase their volumes so they can lower their prices and the way to increase volumes is to export more to the United States, according to a report by grocery-chain analyst Kevin Grier of the George Morris Center.

He looked at data from Statistic Canada and the United States to find that Canadian companies have increased exports to the U.S., but have lost market share in Canada to U.S. imports.

Canadian exports are often private-label products; U.S. imports are usually manufaturers’ brand name products, Grier says.

Canadian manufacturer exports of consumer packaged food goods to the U.S. increased from 25 to 30 per cent in the four years from 2009 to 2013.

Meanwhile, the U.S. share or the Canadian market increased from 23 to 30 per cent in the 10 years from 2004 to 2013.

These statistics were gathered before Kelloggs closed its plant in London and Heinz its ketchup plant in Leamington. Canadians will now be supplied from U.S. plants.

Between 2006 and 2014, 143 Canadian food plants closed, 63 new plants opened and 67 announced major investments.

Americans were more likely to close the plants they own in Canada and consolidate operations in the U.S., but Canadian companies were more likely to either consolidate Canadian plants or invest in existing facilities.

As for the big supermarket squeeze, Grier writes that “Canadian retailers are good buyers and they like to maximize their buying options."

I would choose an adjective other than "good" to describe the buyers for Loblaws, Sobeys and Metro; "ruthless" is more like it.

“Canadian retailers will use U.S.-sourced product as a tool to leverage against vulnerable Canadian producers, who have fewer selling opportunities than their larger U.S. competitors.”

He writes that “It should also be pointed out that a lot of Canadian capacity in the consumer packaged goods categories is used for private label production, sold either in Canada or the U.S.. Most big brands are U.S. based and supplied in Canada from U.S. production facilities.

“The Canadian consumer is indifferent or unaware of manufacturing source, whether branded or private label,” Grier says.
One of the challenges Canadian manufacturers face is being able to supply enough to meet nation-wide demand in the much bigger U.S. market, Grier says.

This is becoming a greater challenge as the U.S. retailers have “shifted . . . from regional supermarkets . . . into national mass merchandisers, club stores, and dollar stores. Thus Canadian plants, once built for domestic consumption, lack the scale to supply those outlets in any meaningful way. Yet the U.S. manufacturers typically have the scale to supply Canada.”

Grier says “it matters that Canada maintains a robust consumer packaged goods manufacturing sector.

“In order to do so, companies need to grow beyond the traditional Canadian supply for Canadian consumption model. Those days are over.

“Indeed, Canadian retailers cannot and will not buy locally if quality and price do not meet U.S. offerings.


“Nor will Canadian consumers behave that way,” Grier writes.